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A new oil shock is building. The next few weeks of war will be decisive for the economy.

The clock is ticking on the U.S.-Israeli war in Iran. The emerging view from oil industry executives and analysts is that the economic and market fallout from the war could escalate sharply if the Strait of Hormuz isn’t reopened within roughly the next…

Private credit’s cracks open door for Wall Street banks’ comeback: ‘The tug of war is just starting’

Wall Street banks may finally be getting a long-awaited opening to claw back market share from private credit lenders. After a decade in which private credit lenders grew rapidly and took over a large share of financing for leveraged buyouts,…

US appeals court orders end to SAVE student loan repayment plan affecting millions

A federal appeals court in the US has ordered the end of the Saving on a Valuable Education (SAVE) plan, a repayment programme introduced during the Biden administration that was used by millions of student loan borrowers. The ruling comes…

9% of ACA health-care plan enrollees go uninsured after enhanced subsidies expire, poll finds

Many Americans are feeling the financial pain following the expiration of enhanced federal subsidies for Affordable Care Act marketplace health insurance. About 1 in 10 people — 9% — who were enrolled in an ACA marketplace health plan last year are now uninsured following…

Mortgage rates surge to highest since September, hitting spring housing market

Mortgage rates surged to their highest level since September on Friday as bond yields moved higher due to the war in Iran. The average rate on the 30-year fixed loan hit 6.41%, according to Mortgage News Daily. That is the…

U.S. deficit tops $1 trillion through February but runs below year-ago pace

The U.S. budget deficit surpassed $1 trillion for the fiscal year through February but was sharply lower than the same period a year earlier, Treasury Department data showed Wednesday. Outlays exceeded receipts by $308 billion in February, roughly in line…

US Treasury Department taking over some student loans as Education Dept gets dismantled

The US Education Department is handing off a portion of its student loan portfolio to the Treasury Department, a first step toward shedding management of all student loans as Trump administration officials dismantle the federal education agency. Under an agreement…

Private Credit Under Pressure: Defaults, Redemptions And The AI Shock

Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked. – Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway 2001 Annual Letter A recent string of defaults by companies at least partially funded by private credit has raised investor concerns that more bad…

Rising oil prices could increase food costs but hoarding groceries ‘makes a bad situation worse,’ economist says

Rising oil prices tend to push up the cost of groceries, but that doesn’t mean shoppers need to rush out and stock up, economists say. Brent crude has surged above $100 a barrel in recent weeks — after trading closer to $60 in…

2-year Treasury yield surges after poor U.S. bond auction

The 2-year Treasury yield jumped more than 9 basis points Tuesday, to 3.925%, after weak demand in a $69 billion auction. The bid-to-cover ratio in the two-year auction — how many dollars of investment chase every dollar of securities available — was…